NBA Betting Predictions | Anthony Davis’s Key Adjustment, James Harden’s Injury Return and More 2022
NBA Betting Predictions
Another week has passed on NBA Betting Predictions, and the NBA season seems to be building up to be one of the most competitive in a long time. This week saw the return of both James Harden and Khris Middleton, as well as the rise of Anthony Davis at NBA Betting Predictions.
See also : NBA Rookie Rankings | Jabari Smith on the mend after a good week; AJ Griffin scores game-winning shot for Hawks 2022
We’ll get a good look at these teams’ potential to be contenders this week — to be fair, the Milwaukee Bucks are already in the mix — as well as how those three players may affect their respective teams.
- Schedule: Tuesday against. Cavaliers | Wednesday vs. Raptors | Friday vs. 76ers | Sunday vs. Pistons
We always joke that Anthony Davis is constantly falling down, taking too many jumpers, or getting injured. Davis, on the other hand, has recently had the last laugh . He’s been a complete disaster for the last two weeks at NBA Betting Predictions. He has ten straight double-doubles, averaging 34.2 points, 15.4 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.3 steals, and 2.9 blocks per game.
He concluded this run with a strong 55-point performance against the Washington Wizards, and his MVP NBA Betting Predictions odds have dropped from over 200-1 a week ago to only 30-1 following Sunday’s game. He’s propelled himself into the MVP debate, as he currently owns the league’s seventh-highest Estimated Plus/Minus (EPM) (+6.4).
While the Los Angeles Lakers are still 10-12, they are 8-2 during their double-double stretch and are just one game behind the sixth-place Warriors. This advancement in the rankings is important.
AD’s prop lines have also evolved significantly at NBA Betting Predictions. On Nov. 11, his prop lines were set at 25.5 points, 10.5 rebounds (plus-money), 2.5 assists, and 1.5 blocks in the opening game of this run (against. the Sacramento Kings, thus a general Pace up situation). 26.5 points, 11.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 3.5 stocks (plus-money), and 1.5 blocks against the Wizards on Sunday.
The significant difference is that these totals are now in games with LeBron James, as opposed to the game against the Kings when James was injured. In other words, Davis’ performance with James has been maintained, if not improved.
The most significant alteration AD has made is his shot selection
Davis is attempting a career-high 55% of his shots at the basket on NBA Betting Predictions, and he has practically abandoned the 3-point shot, with just 6% of his tries coming from beyond the arc.
Furthermore, there has been a noticeable shift in the midrange. While he still takes 39% of his efforts from the midrange, he has cut his long-mid frequency in half and shifted to 25% from the short-midrange (4-14 feet). AD is shooting 80% of his shots from inside 14 feet of the basket, a career best.
Davis’ shots are becoming more aggressive at NBA Betting Predictions, and opponents are fighting to keep up with him. Moving ahead, the Lakers have back-to-back road games against the Cavaliers and Raptors, followed by a clash against the Sixers in Philadelphia before concluding their East coast trip with a Sunday evening game in Detroit. However, based on those factors, AD can still outperform even in such games.
He has scored 26.5 points in seven of ten games, grabbed 11.5 rebounds in nine, and blocked at least two shots in eight of them. Notably, he has struggled lately against Cleveland, but I believe this is because James prefers to get more run against his local club.
I believe his blocks line will be the most exploitable in the future, particularly given that he is averaging 2.4 on the season and his defensive brilliance has always remained as long as he has been healthy.
Harden has returned to Philadelphia
- Schedule: Monday at Rockets | Friday at Lakers | Sunday at Hornets
James Harden is slated to return against the Rockets on Monday night in Houston at NBA Betting Predictions. His return could have a big influence on the 76ers offense, which has been missing its two main ball handlers, James Harden and Tyrese Maxey. Harden’s Usage Rate of 32.8% is the second-highest on the team, behind only Joel Embiid, whose Usage is somewhat inflated owing to the absence of his two guards.
Without Harden, Embiid had a resurgence. This season, he was distributing with ease, and his assists per game more than doubled from 3.3 to 6.2, while his scoring increased from 27.2 to 34.2. This team was carried by Embiid.
The two last played together on Oct. 29 against the Chicago Bulls for NBA Betting Predictions. Embiid’s prop lines were 29.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists (plus-money) in that game, while Harden’s were 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 9.5 assists.
It’s difficult to envision Harden playing many minutes in his first game back, thus I believe Embiid’s assist line still has value if they set it at 3.5 instead of the 5.5 it had before.
Shake Milton, who went from hardly playing with Harden in the lineup to a staggering 29.6 minutes per game with him out, and PJ Tucker will also be affected. Without Harden, Tucker was dreadful; although he helped on defense and with his rebounds, he just couldn’t buy a bucket.
Harden did a terrific job of setting him up at the NBA Betting Predictions, and his scoring should improve from 1.7 points per game without him to 6.2 points per game with him. In the near future, I plan to wager on his points or 3s prop.
The Return of Khris Middleton to Milwaukee
Schedule: Monday at the Magic; Wednesday at the Kings; Friday at the Mavericks; and Sunday at the Rockets. Khris Middleton made his long-awaited return to the court, scoring 17 points, grabbing two rebounds, and dishing out seven assists while shooting 3-of-4 from beyond the arc. His points prop was just 14.5 points.
He’s averaged 20 or more points per game over the previous three seasons on approximately 30 minutes, so I’d anticipate this line to settle at NBA Betting Predictions; but, if it’s a little sticky and doesn’t rise much to around 18.5 or 19.5 again, I’d take the over without hesitation as his minutes climb.
Middleton is one of the greatest players on the Milwaukee Bucks, and he should demand a usage rate of about 27% in the future. Last season, lineups containing Middleton were +6.1 points better than their opponents, and this Bucks club, which is currently very excellent, will be much better going ahead.
Middleton does not detract from the workload or scoring of Giannis Antetokounmpo or Jrue Holiday for NBA Betting Predictions. In fact, Antetokounmpo averaged 30.4 points per game with Middleton last season, which was more than he had in the previous two seasons without him (29.7).
Middleton’s return to the Bucks is crucial since he should improve their overall depth, yet we’ve seen that the Bucks will sometimes bench practically their entire squad for rest/injury considerations. While Grayson Allen’s points increased the most last season, Javon Carter has been superb without the Bucks’ Big Three on the court this season.
Carter has averaging 22.3 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 6.0 assists in four games this season sans the Bucks’ Big 3. Carter is the target going forward if the Bucks ever bench the whole squad at the NBA Betting Predictions.